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The U.S. government is seriously considering breaking up Google in response to its monopolistic practices, a significant development in the ongoing antitrust case. The Justice Department (DOJ) believes that Google’s control over online search stifles competition and innovation. The company holds nearly 90% of the global search market, and in 2021, it spent over $26 billion to secure default search engine agreements with tech giants like Apple.

Google’s Monopoly and Legal Challenges

Google’s search dominance has been ruled illegal by U.S. courts, prompting the DOJ to propose several remedies. A key proposal involves breaking up parts of Google’s business, including its Chrome browser, Android operating system, and artificial intelligence (AI) tools. These moves aim to dismantle Google’s stranglehold over online search distribution channels, which for over a decade have left competitors little room to innovate.

The DOJ’s approach mirrors earlier cases, such as the 1984 AT&T breakup, and highlights the severity of the situation. The final decision could arrive in August 2025, but the legal battle could drag on for years, with Google likely appealing any major rulings. However, if Google is forced to divest its major assets, this could reshape the entire tech industry and level the playing field for smaller companies.

Financial Impact on Google

In 2021, Google spent $26 billion on maintaining its monopoly through default search agreements. If broken up, the company could face significant revenue losses. For instance, its Android system, which powers over 70% of global smartphones, might lose its ability to steer users toward Google services. Analysts predict this could reduce Google’s search-related profits, which generated around $162 billion in 2022, by as much as 30%.

Risks and Consequences

Critics warn that dismantling Google could harm innovation and raise prices for consumers. For instance, breaking off Android could lead to higher device costs, while limiting Google’s AI usage might stifle advancements in search technologies. The tech giant has already stated that government intervention could have unintended negative effects, particularly in the fast-moving AI industry, where competition is fierce.

However, proponents of the breakup argue that reducing Google’s monopoly will foster innovation, allowing emerging companies to compete. Furthermore, they claim that limiting Google’s control over AI will prevent it from using its dominance to suppress new players in the market.

What’s Next?

The DOJ is expected to submit a more detailed breakup proposal by November 2024, with final recommendations coming in March 2025. The outcome of this case will not only affect Google but could also serve as a blueprint for regulating other tech giants accused of monopolistic practices. If the U.S. follows through on these plans, it will mark one of the most significant antitrust actions in decades, impacting how digital markets operate globally.

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